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基于Markov模型探讨射频消融术和开腹肝癌切除术治疗早期原发性肝癌的成本效益▲
Cost-effectiveness of radiofrequency ablation and open hepatectomy for early-stage primary carcinoma of liver based on Markov model

微创医学 20231806期 页码:702-708

作者机构:广西中医药大学,1 财务处,2 赛恩斯新医药学院医学系,3 基础医学院,广西南宁市530222

基金信息:国家自然科学基金(编号:82204755、81960751);广西自然科学基金(编号:2020GXNSFBA297094);广西中青年教师科研基础能力提升项目(编号:2022KY1667);广西中医药大学赛恩斯新医药学院科研项目(编号:2022CX004、2022MS008、2022QJ001);广西中医药大学赛恩斯新医药学院自治区级大学生创新创业项目(编号:S202213643024);广西中医药大学青年基金项目(编号:2022QN008)

DOI:DOI:10.11864/j.issn.1673.2023.06.07

  • 中文简介
  • 英文简介
  • 参考文献

目的 对比分析射频消融术(RFA)和开腹肝切除术(OH)治疗早期原发性肝癌(PCL)的成本效益差异。方法 从医疗卫生体系角度出发,根据一项临床随机对照试验,将患者的疾病发展进程归为稳定期、复发期、死亡三种状态,构建Markov模型。以质量调整生命年(QALY)作为产出指标计算增量成本-效益比和花费的直接医疗成本,成本数据来自8个省市医疗卫生服务项目价格中位数,效用数据来源于已发表的文献。采用队列模拟法对各状态间的转移概率进行分析,计算增量成本-效用比(ICUR)进行敏感性分析检验结果的稳定性。结果 模型运行20个周期显示,RFA组患者的平均期望寿命比OH组长,其中RFA组和OH组患者的直接医疗成本分别是408 483元和1 512 127元,两组相比效益值增值2.87QALY,增量成本-效益比为384 544.94元/QALY。结论 RFA方案增量成本-效益比值远低于意愿支付阈值6.48万/QALY。由此可见,RFA治疗早期PCL疾病的方案具有显著的成本-效果优势。

Objective To compare the cost-effectiveness of radiofrequency ablation (RFA) and open hepatectomy (OH) in the treatment of early-stage primary carcinoma of liver (PCL). Methods From the perspective of medical and health system, according to a randomized controlled clinical trial, the disease progression of patients was classified into three states: stable period, relapse period and death to construct a Markov model. Quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) was used as the output index to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio and the direct medical cost. The cost data were derived from the median price of medical and health service projects in 8 provinces and cities, and the utility data were derived from published literature. The transition probability of each state is analyzed by using the cohort simulation method, and the incremental cost-utility ratio (ICUR) was calculated for sensitivity analysis to test the stability of the results. Results The 20 cycles of model operation showed that the average life expectancy of RFA group was longer than that of OH group, and the direct medical costs of RFA group and OH group were 408 483 yuan and 1 512 127 yuan, respectively. Compared with the two groups, the benefit value increased by 2.87 QALY, and the incremental cost-benefit ratio was 384 544.94 yuan/QALY. Conclusion The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of RFA scheme is far below the threshold of willingness to pay of 64 800 /QALY. As can be seen, RFA has significant cost-effectiveness advantages in the treatment of early PCL diseases.

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